U.S. Army Research Uncovers Pattern in Progression of Weapons Technologies

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October 22, 2019 | Originally published by Date Line: October 22 on

Anticipating the technology and weapon systems of our future Army might not be entirely daunting, new Army research finds.

Trends in the progression of weapon systems from the early crossbowman to a musket to a military tank might help predict our future systems, according to a new study to be published in the Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, “Towards Universal Laws of Technology Evolution: Modeling Multi-century Advances in Mobile Direct Fire Systems.”

“A number of law-like regularities are known to apply to both technological and naturally emerging complex systems,” said Dr. Alexander Kott, author of the paper and a researcher at the U.S. Army Combat Capabilities Development Command’s Army Research Laboratory. “Identifying these regularities may help long-range technology forecasting, which this paper illustrates by exploring two systems that might appear 30 years in the future.”

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